Business confidence shows signs of life

Submitted 14/07/2009

Migration for Business Growth

Business confidence has shown signs of recovery during the June quarter following cuts in interest rates and stimulus efforts.

The Commonwealth Bank Business SA Survey of Business Expectations for the June quarter showed that the South Australian confidence index increased 18.1 points (23 per cent) to 97.6 points.

Following consecutive quarters of falling confidence, this increase pushes confidence back from the lowest levels recorded in March since the survey was introduced in 2001.

While there are still concerns for business, the recovery in confidence for the June quarter is being attributed to the optimistic outlook in a challenging climate.

Business SA Chief Executive Officer, Peter Vaughan, said that survey results indicated that many businesses are cautiously optimistic about the immediate future.

"Business confidence has certainly taken a hit in previous months, however the resilience and strength of the local economy has left many businesses feeling positive about tackling the challenges that lay ahead," said Mr Vaughan.

"Interest rate cuts and stimulus packages have had their desired effect on the economy, however the challenges highlighted in the survey cannot be underestimated.

"Despite low confidence levels, economic data has reflected the strong performance of the local economy and this has been reflected in the survey confidence levels.

"General business conditions in the June quarter also recovered from the previous quarter's record low, increasing 11 per cent to 92.8 points and exceeding the expectations from the March survey."

According to respondents, the increase in confidence appears to be associated with the increase in sales revenue and the expectation of more to come.

"The roll-out of stimulus payments no doubt contributed to the increase of the sales revenue index in this survey, increasing by 11 per cent and exceeding March predictions.

"More than 40 per cent of businesses expect an increase in total sales revenue in the September quarter.

"Nearly half of respondents expect interest rates to remain stagnant in the September quarter, and we strongly believe there is room for further cuts to ensure confidence remains on track."

Joe Formichella, General Manager Corporate Financial Services, South Australia and Northern Territory, Commonwealth bank, said that the uplift in confidence in South Australia is a promising sign of a brighter road ahead.

"The latest survey results points to a recovery, albeit minor at this stage, for South Australia. Businesses are still facing challenges with cash flow, rising costs and unemployment, however, it is likely that we should continue to see an uplift in confidence as the broader global economy begins to slowly improve in the coming months.